Stony Brook
W-L: (19- 3) PR = 93.7090Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 215 H Albany America Eas (12- 6, 84.2) 15- 6 224 A Connecticut Big East ( 7-10, 85.3) 16- 5 226 H Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 9- 7 228 H Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 12-13 306 H Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 12-11 308 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 11-13 311 H Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 11- 8 315 A Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 9- 8, 79.8) 18- 8 317 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 86.5) 18-10 320 A Drexel Colonial ( 5-11, 83.2) 12- 7 329 H Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 16- 4 401 A Princeton Ivy League (11- 7, 92.6) 10- 8 403 H Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 19- 7 412 A William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 79.9) 18- 9 415 H Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 19- 6 417 H Hofstra Colonial (10- 7, 84.6) 15- 4 424 A Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 82.9) 15- 4 430 H Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 82.9) 18- 6 502 H Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 18- 7 508 H Stonehill Northeast (13- 7, 78.5) 19- 5 510 H Boston College ACC (10- 8, 92.7) 10- 9 514 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 12-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
215 H Albany 15- 6 9 11 -1.86
224 A Connecticut 16- 5 11 7 + 3.97
226 H Colorado 9- 7 2 1 0.83
228 H Northwestern 12-13 -1 -2 0.84
306 H Denver 12-11 1 1 -0.29
308 A Johns Hopkins 11-13 -2 -2 -0.12
311 H Rutgers 11- 8 3 4 -1.19
315 A Monmouth (NJ) 18- 8 10 13 - -2.55
317 A Villanova 18-10 8 6 + 2.13
320 A Drexel 12- 7 5 9 -- -4.09
329 H Campbell 16- 4 12 13 -1.34
401 A Princeton 10- 8 2 0 + 2.29
403 H Towson 19- 7 12 11 1.03
412 A William & Mary 18- 9 9 12 - -3.46
415 H Arizona State 19- 6 13 8 ++ 4.87
417 H Hofstra 15- 4 11 11 0.48
424 A Elon 15- 4 11 9 1.60
430 H Elon 18- 6 12 12 -0.13
502 H Towson 18- 7 11 11 0.03
508 H Stonehill 19- 5 14 17 0.00
510 H Boston College 10- 9 1 2 -1.35
514 A Johns Hopkins 12-13 -1 -2 0.88
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 A Drexel 12- 7 5 9 -- -4.09 315 A Monmouth (NJ) 18- 8 10 13 - -2.55 412 A William & Mary 18- 9 9 12 - -3.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Arizona State 19- 6 13 8 ++ 4.87 224 A Connecticut 16- 5 11 7 + 3.97 317 A Villanova 18-10 8 6 + 2.13 401 A Princeton 10- 8 2 0 + 2.29 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Albany (12- 6, 84.2) 15- 6 -15.69 24.48 -1.37 0.79 36.40
3 A Connecticut ( 7-10, 85.3) 16- 5 -14.59 25.58 1.37 0.79 42.43
3 H Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 9- 7 -5.99 34.18 -1.37 0.79 51.67
3 H Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 12-13 -2.98 37.18 -1.37 0.79 -1.71
3 H Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 12-11 -6.12 34.05 -1.37 0.79 51.47
3 A Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 11-13 -5.68 34.49 1.37 0.79 -1.70
3 H Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 11- 8 -9.02 31.15 -1.37 0.79 46.91
3 A Monmouth (NJ) ( 9- 8, 79.8) 18- 8 -20.10 20.06 1.37 0.79 33.75
3 A Villanova ( 9- 6, 86.5) 18-10 -13.43 26.74 1.37 0.79 44.27
3 A Drexel ( 5-11, 83.2) 12- 7 -16.65 23.52 1.37 0.79 39.19
3 H Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 16- 4 -18.17 22.00 -1.37 0.79 32.50
3 A Princeton (11- 7, 92.6) 10- 8 -7.27 32.90 1.37 0.79 53.97
3 H Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 19- 7 -15.80 24.37 -1.37 0.79 36.22
3 A William & Mary ( 7- 9, 79.9) 18- 9 -20.02 20.15 1.37 0.79 33.89
3 H Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 19- 6 -12.95 27.22 -1.37 0.79 40.71
3 H Hofstra (10- 7, 84.6) 15- 4 -15.34 24.83 -1.37 0.79 36.95
3 A Elon ( 7-10, 82.9) 15- 4 -16.96 23.21 1.37 0.79 38.71
3 H Elon ( 7-10, 82.9) 18- 6 -16.96 23.21 -1.37 0.79 34.40
3 H Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 18- 7 -15.80 24.37 -1.37 0.79 36.22
3 H Stonehill (13- 7, 78.5) 19- 5 -21.40 18.77 -1.37 0.79 27.41
3 H Boston College (10- 8, 92.7) 10- 9 -7.17 33.00 -1.37 0.79 49.81
3 A Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 12-13 -5.68 34.49 1.37 0.79 -1.70
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761.77
|
winning pts = 766.8768 losing points = -5.1060
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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